Discussion:
Voting "Irregularities" Die bold, live bolder
(too old to reply)
Ether St. Vying
2004-11-23 10:29:03 UTC
Permalink
Security studies of e-voting from Johns Hopkins:
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Analysis of an Electronic Voting System
IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy, Oakland, CA, May, 2004.
Authors
Tadayoshi Kohno
Adam Stubblefield
Aviel D. Rubin
Dan S. Wallach

Abstract
With significant U.S. federal funds now available to replace
outdated punch-card and mechanical voting systems, municipalities and
states throughout the U.S. are adopting paperless electronic voting
systems from a number of different vendors. We present a security
analysis of the source code to one such machine used in a significant
share of the market. Our analysis shows that this voting system is far
below even the most minimal security standards applicable in other
contexts. We identify several problems including unauthorized privilege
escalation, incorrect use of cryptography, vulnerabilities to network
threats, and poor software development processes. We show that voters,
without any insider privileges, can cast unlimited votes without being
detected by any mechanisms within the voting terminal software.
Furthermore, we show that even the most serious of our outsider attacks
could have been discovered and executed without access to the source
code. In the face of such attacks, the usual worries about insider
threats are not the only concerns; outsiders can do the damage.
That said, we demonstrate that the insider threat is also
quite considerable, showing that not only can an insider, such as a poll
worker, modify the votes, but that insiders can also violate voter
privacy and match votes with the voters who cast them. We concludethat
this voting system is unsuitable for use in a general election. Any
paperless electronic voting system might suffer similar flaws, despite
any "certification" it could have otherwise received. We suggest that
the best solutions are voting systems having a "voter-verifiable audit
trail," where a computerized voting system might print a paper ballot
that can be read and verified by the voter.
[]
SAIC Report
In early August 2003 the state of Maryland hired a third-party
consulting firm (SAIC) to perform an analysis of Diebold’s AccuVote-TS
voting system. On
September 24, 2003, Maryland made SAIC’s report public. To quote the
SAIC report, “[t]he system, as implemented in policy, procedure, and
technology,
is at high risk of compromise.” Despite the problems identified in our
report and in the SAIC report, Maryland is still planning to proceed
with the 55.6 million
dollar purchase of Diebold AccuVote-TS voting terminals.

To help mitigate the risks identified in the security analyses, Maryland
proposed a set of technological changes to Diebold’s voting machines as
well as
procedural changes to the election process. While this may help “raise
the bar,” it is impossible to know whether any security analysis
identifies all the
possible vulnerabilities present in an analyzed system. By only patching
the known vulnerabilities, Maryland is not actually ensuring that the
voting system will be secure. Rather, Maryland should follow security
engineering best practices, which state that security can only be
assured through a rigorous design process that considers security from a
project’s conception, not through a set of patches applied after the
fact.

It appears that the state of Maryland has had to compromise on
the security of the voting system due to the election calendar. The
Maryland State Board of Elections states that “an alternative system
could not be implemented in time to conduct the March 2004 Presidential
Primary election and could jeopardize the November 2004 Presidential
General election.” Unfortunately, by compromising on security, the
integrity and privacy of these elections may still be in jeopardy.
[]
RABA Report
The consulting firm, RABA, has issued a report on the security of the
Diebold machines. They validated our findings and found other problems
as well.
Perhaps the best coverage of this study is in a Wired report by Kim
Zetter.
-----------------------------------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities

After the 2004 U.S. presidential election there were allegations of data
irregularities and systematic flaws which may have affected
the outcome of both the presidential and local elections. Unofficial
results currently indicate a victory by George W. Bush over John
Kerry. Allegations range from significant exit poll and other data
irregularities potentially characteristic of fraud, to complaints voting

was not conducted equally for all citizens, for example, uneven voting
machine distribution which might lead to long voting lines and
disenfranchisement.

Investigations and enquiries - The major challenger, John Kerry
(Democrat), has stated he will not contest the anticipated result.
However, some groups and individuals (including the media, Ralph Nader
(independent), David Cobb (Green), Michael Badnarik
(Libertarian), the Electronic Frontier Foundation, electronic voting
machine criticism organizations such as BlackBoxVoting.ORG
(http://www.blackboxvoting.org), Kerry's brother and legal advisor
Cameron Kerry, members of the House Judiciary Committee, PD's
and academics, computer security specialists, and citizen bloggers) are
currently compiling, analysing and investigating these
allegations.

Data analyses have been made public by a variety of commentators. Much
data was released by Diebold Election Systems
inadvertently, and other data has been obtained from official records or
freedom of information requests. A preliminary report from
CalTech stating that there is no evidence of discrepancies was strongly
challenged for serious methodological errors (it was unsigned,
had many graphs but little academic substance, and used seriously flawed
data pre-adjusted to the official votes, among other
issues). A second, more rigorous preliminary analysis at the University
of Pennsylvania calculated that the odds of the difference
between exit polls and actual vote counts being due to chance is less
than 1 in 100 million. A third paper by UC Berkeley (which
provided full data and was reviewed by several professors prior to
publication) allowed for many economic, political, ethnic patterns
and past voting tendencies, and concluded "No matter how many factors
and variables we took into consideration ... the data show with
99.0% [sic, tested at 99% actual figure 99.9%] certainty that a county’s
use of electronic voting is associated with a disproportionate
increase in votes for President Bush". They calculated the Bush vote was
130,000 - 260,000 overstated in Florida.

Voting machine and voter suppression - There were reports of problems
with and controversy over electronic and optical-scan
voting machines, many precincts reporting more voters than they had, or
inexplicable numbers of votes cast, the fact the exit poll
discrepancies only seemed to show up in swing states. Allocation of
ballots and voting machines led to some disenfranchisement,
particularly in high-population areas and in closely contested states.
Other issues are the perception of a discrepancy between party
registration statistics and results in some counties, and the varying
and controversial procedures for counting provisional ballots.

Manufacturer and testing issues - In addition, the extensive
affiliations of some major voting machine companies have been at issue,
together with documentation and litigation suggesting that some
colluded. Some company owners had multiple prior convictions and
bans for bid-rigging elsewhere, and at least one knew for some years
(and had deceived the public) about the full extent of lack of
security. They also knowingly breached the law regarding voting
machines, attempted to collude to "eliminate side attacks" and
"criticism ... of fallibility" from "computer scientists and security
experts" and "other people" who were "somewhat credible", and
attempted to establish an 'unconnected' and deniable PR group to
manipulate official perception. The Senior Vice President of one
voting machine company who wrote and maintained thousands of lines of
voting machine code was found to have previously "served
time in a Washington state correctional facility for stealing money and
tampering with computer files in a scheme that "involved a high
degree of sophistication and planning." Increasing evidence of incidents
where untoward modification to voting machines took place
has led to the companies themselves coming under examination for their
various political and economic ties.


"[E]ven if the election were viewed as "successful,"
it would not alleviate the vast majority of my concerns with the
machines.
Voting machines that are vulnerable to wholesale
rigging can still perform perfectly normally. It is possible that nobody

exploited the vulnerabilities this time around, and
it is also possible that there was fraud or serious error, but that they
went
undetected. Electronic voting will be judged on the
noticeable failures, and the unnoticeable ones are the most serious." -
Aviel
D. Rubin [1] (http://www.avirubin.com/judge2.html)

---------------------------------

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diebold_Election_Systems
Their Diebold GEMS central tabulator software, version 1.18.15 of which
counted most votes in the United States in the U.S.
presidential election, 2004, is at the center of extreme controversy for
apparent irregularities versus the U.S. presidential election,
2004, exit polls. The Diebold AccuVote voting machine has also come
under extreme scrutiny especially by Ralph Nader's campaign.

The GEMS software, certified by NASED via Ciber Labs employee Shawn
Southworth of Hunstville, AB is at the center of an alleged
Diebold Election Systems electoral fraud, 2004 that is much more serious
than the previous allegations in the U.S. presidential
election, 2000 and U.S. midterm election, 2002 in which Diebold also
came under scrutiny.
[]
Together Election Systems & Software, Inc. and Diebold Election Systems,
Inc. are responsible for tallying around 80% of votes cast in
the United States. The software architecture common to both is a
creation of Mr. Urosevich's company I-Mark. Some critics claim that
this structure is easily compromised, in part due to its reliance on
Microsoft products including Microsoft Windows and Microsoft Access
databases. Britain J. Williams, responsible for certification of voting
machines for the state of Georgia has provided a negative
assessment based on her accounting of potential exploits.

In August 2003, Walden O'Dell, chief executive of Diebold, announced
that he had been a top fund-raiser for President George W.
Bush and had sent a get-out-the-funds letter to Ohio Republicans. In the
letters he says he is "committed to helping Ohio deliver its
electoral votes to the president next year." Critics of Diebold
interpreted this as implying that he might rig the company's electronic
voting machines to give an unfair advantage to Bush. The letter also was
seem as an indication of a perceived conflict of interest by
critics. He has responded to the critics by pointing out that the
company's election machines division is run out of Texas by a
registered Democrat. He also claims the statement about delivering
Ohio's electoral votes to Bush was simply a poor choice of words.
Nonetheless, he vowed to lower his political profile lest his personal
actions harm the company.

DES claims its systems provide strong immunity to ballot tampering and
other vote rigging attempts. These claims have been
challenged, notably by Bev Harris in her book Black Box Voting and on
her website [1] (http://www.blackboxvoting.org) with the same
name. According to critics, the I-Mark and Microsoft software each
represent a single point of failure for the vote counting process,
from which 80% of votes can be compromised via the exploit of a single
line of code in either subsystem. Harris and C. D. Sludge, an
Internet journalist, both claim there is also evidence that the Diebold
systems have been exploited to tamper with American elections.

Sludge further cites Votewatch for evidence that suggests a pattern of
compromised voting machine exploits throughout the 1990s,
and specifically involving the Diebold machines in the 2002 election.

The controversy regarding electronic voting machines is related to a
larger debate concerning the relative merits of open source and
proprietary security products. Advocates of the open source model say
that systems are more secure when anyone can view the
underlying software code, identify bugs and make peer-reviewed changes.
Advocates of proprietary systems claim that so-called
black box systems are more secure because potential weaknesses are
hidden.

Aviel Rubin, Professor of Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University
and Technical Director of the Information Security Institute has
analyzed the source code used in these voting machines and reports "this
voting system is far below even the most minimal security
standards applicable in other contexts." [2]
(http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html) Following the publication
of this paper, the
State of Maryland hired Science Applications International Corporation
(SAIC) to to perform another analysis of the Diebold voting
machines. SAIC concluded “[t]he system, as implemented in policy,
procedure, and technology, is at high risk of compromise.” [3]
(http://www.dbm.maryland.gov/dbm_publishing/public_content/dbm_search/technology/toc_voting_system_report/votingsystemreportfinal.pdf)

The voting machines, which are made by Diebold Election Systems (DES),
have caused a public uproar among some opponents.

In September 2003, a large number of internal Diebold memos, dating back
to mid-2001, were posted to the Web by the website
organizations Why War? and the Swarthmore Coalition for the Digital
Commons, a group of student activists at Swarthmore College.
Congressman Kucinich (D-OH) has placed portions of the files on his
websites. Diebold's critics believe that these memos reflect badly
on Diebold's voting machines and business practices. For example: "Do
not to offer damaging opinions of our systems, even when
their failings become obvious." (Election Support Guide; pg. 10 -- [4]
(http://www.equalccw.com/ElectionSupportGuide.pdf))

In December 2003, an internal Diebold memo was leaked to the press,
sparking controversy in Maryland. Maryland officials requested
that Diebold add the functionality of printing voting receipts. The
leaked memo said, "As a business, I hope we're smart enough to
charge them up the wazoo [for this feature]".
[]

-----------------------------------
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
from pdf: Summary of Findings
The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush
in the 2004 Florida Elections Summary:
- Irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have
awarded 130,000 excess votes or more to President George W. Bush in
Florida.
- Compared to counties with paper ballots, counties with electronic
voting machines were significantly more likely to show increases in
support for President Bush between 2000 and 2004. This effect cannot be
explained by differences between counties in income, number of voters,
change in voter turnout, or size of Hispanic/Latino population.
- In Broward County alone, President Bush appears to have received
approximately 72,000 excess votes.
- We can be 99.9% sure that these effects are not attributable to
chance.
Details:
Because many factors impact voting results, statistical tools are
necessary to see the effect of touch-screen voting. Multiple- regression
analysis is a statistical technique widely used in the social and
physical sciences to distinguish the individual effects of many
variables.
This multiple-regression analysis takes account of the following
variables by county: - number of voters - median income - Hispanic
population - change in voter turnout between 2000 and 2004 - support for
President Bush in 2000 election - support for Dole in 1996 election
When one controls for these factors, the association between electronic
voting and increased support for President Bush is impossible to
overlook. The data show with 99.0% certainty that a county’s use of
electronic voting is associated with a disproportionate increase in
votes for President Bush.
The data used in this study come from CNN.com, the 2000 US Census, the
Florida Department of State, and the Verified Voting Foundation ? all
publicly available sources. This study was carried out by a group of
doctoral students in the UC Berkeley sociology department in
collaboration with Professor Michael Hout, a member of the National
Academy of Sciences and the UC Berkeley Survey Research Center.

-------------------------------


http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,62109,00.html
Computer security experts hired to hack electronic voting machines
manufactured by Diebold Election Systems found that flaws in the
machines could result in malicious insiders or outsiders stealing an
election.

The findings, released in a report late Thursday afternoon, culminated a
weeklong test undertaken by security experts at RabaTechnologies, a firm
hired by Maryland's legislative services department to hack the voting
machines. The report (PDF) stated that the Diebold machines did
accurately count the votes but could be compromised. The Raba
researchers concluded that for less than $750 someone could purchase and
program a card for this purpose. Furthermore, the red team was able to
easily guess the passwords for the smart cards. Even if they could not
guess them, they noted, Diebold had
written the passwords into its source code, a version of which was
leaked on the Internet last January after Diebold failed to secure a
company FTP server.

The Raba report is actually the second report commissioned by Maryland.
In September, the state commissioned Science Applications International
Corporation, or SAIC, to audit the Diebold machines after the Johns
Hopkins report came out.

----------------
Jeremy Donovan
2004-11-23 20:31:47 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Okay, so we are getting closer to evidence, which is what I originally
requested. I notice you found time to read a little more, as long as
it is on your own side, that is.
Post by Ether St. Vying
We suggest that
the best solutions are voting systems having a "voter-verifiable audit
trail," where a computerized voting system might print a paper ballot
that can be read and verified by the voter.
I definitely agree with that.
Post by Ether St. Vying
It appears that the state of Maryland has had to compromise on
the security of the voting system due to the election calendar. The
Maryland State Board of Elections states that ?an alternative system
could not be implemented in time to conduct the March 2004 Presidential
Primary election and could jeopardize the November 2004 Presidential
General election.? Unfortunately, by compromising on security, the
integrity and privacy of these elections may still be in jeopardy.
In Maryland, Kerry won: 56% to 43% .
Post by Ether St. Vying
Perhaps the best coverage of this study is in a Wired report by Kim
Zetter.
-----------------------------------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities
This entire article is in "disputed" status. Wikipedia is just a
bunch of articles written by whoever wants to write them, and it's
owned by some entrepreneur dude. I could go write an article there if
I wanted to.
Post by Ether St. Vying
Investigations and enquiries - The major challenger, John Kerry
(Democrat), has stated he will not contest the anticipated result.
However, some groups and individuals (including the media, Ralph Nader
(independent), David Cobb (Green), Michael Badnarik
(Libertarian), the Electronic Frontier Foundation, electronic voting
machine criticism organizations such as BlackBoxVoting.ORG
(http://www.blackboxvoting.org), Kerry's brother and legal advisor
Cameron Kerry, members of the House Judiciary Committee, PD's
and academics, computer security specialists, and citizen bloggers) are
currently compiling, analysing and investigating these
allegations.
This is good, and it brings us back to my original statement, that I
would wait for the results of such investigations. Sigh.


[...snip...most of the Wikipedia material...]
Post by Ether St. Vying
"[E]ven if the election were viewed as "successful,"
it would not alleviate the vast majority of my concerns with the
machines.
Voting machines that are vulnerable to wholesale
rigging can still perform perfectly normally. It is possible that nobody
exploited the vulnerabilities this time around, and
it is also possible that there was fraud or serious error, but that they
went undetected. Electronic voting will be judged on the
noticeable failures, and the unnoticeable ones are the most serious." -
Aviel
D. Rubin [1] (http://www.avirubin.com/judge2.html)
The above is a rational statement. Possible is possible. May have is
may have. To change the result, the evidence would need to be
stronger. Here in California, they didn't use a lot of the machines.
I myself voted on a paper ballot.
Post by Ether St. Vying
Aviel Rubin, Professor of Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University
and Technical Director of the Information Security Institute has
analyzed the source code used in these voting machines and reports "this
voting system is far below even the most minimal security
standards applicable in other contexts." [2]
(http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html) Following the publication
of this paper, the
State of Maryland hired Science Applications International Corporation
(SAIC) to to perform another analysis of the Diebold voting
machines. SAIC concluded ?[t]he system, as implemented in policy,
procedure, and technology, is at high risk of compromise.? [3]
(http://www.dbm.maryland.gov/dbm_publishing/public_content/dbm_search/technology/toc_voting_system_report/votingsystemreportfinal.pdf)
New systems often are at a high risk of compromise. In fact, the
truth is, most systems new or old ARE at a high risk of compromise. I
myself work for a software development firm which is somewhat
concerned with security issues. Again, a risk of compromise does mean
it actually happened. And if it did happen, there is a very good
chance that there would be evidence that it did. So I'd still want to
see the evidence.

The company I work for creates audit trails within their databases
which show everything modified and by whom, and when. Using MS Access
as a storage database is definitely not the best idea. But ... that
still doesn't mean cheating definitely occurred.
Post by Ether St. Vying
-----------------------------------
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
from pdf: Summary of Findings
The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush
- Irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have
awarded 130,000 excess votes or more to President George W. Bush in
Florida.
You asked me how much Bush won Florida by? The answer is: 380,000
votes.

But ... since a knowledgable "outsider" could supposedly modify the
results, then why aren't you concerned about the following states??

Michigan -- Kerry won by 165,000
Minnesota -- Kerry won by 98,000
New Hampshire - Kerry won by less than 10,000
Oregon - Kerry won by 67,000
Pennsylvania - Kerry won by 130,000
Wisconsin - Kerry by only 11,000


All of those were as close as Ohio (or much closer), and all went to
Kerry. Are we going to recount or verify any of those results too?
Are we going to make sure no one cheated on the machines in those
states?
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,62109,00.html
Computer security experts hired to hack electronic voting machines
manufactured by Diebold Election Systems found that flaws in the
machines could result in malicious insiders or outsiders stealing an
election.
Computer security experts hired to hack almost ANY system are fairly
likely to be successful. Or at least, on a very large percentage of
systems they would be...

The question is still: was there actual cheating done? If so, by
whom, and did it really have a major effect on the results?

Those questions are still unanswered.




-Jer
Ether St. Vying
2004-11-25 06:14:09 UTC
Permalink
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Okay, so we are getting closer to evidence, which is what I originally
requested. I notice you found time to read a little more, as long as
it is on your own side, that is.
Funny thing is I wasn't even looking for it. I was searching for a defunct Cdn. newage mag that had done an interview with Scout Cloud
Lee, one of the castaways in the current season of Survivor. So I did a google.ca search for dimensions magazine ... the name of the mag,
to the best of my recollection ... and I went to a site that I thought might be it ... and it wasn't. Turned out to be a Cdn. left wing
mag ... but it had all this stuff about the irregularities ... so I followed some links ... and ... like ... Bob's yer uncle, eh. I took
it as a sign from the universe that I should post it here. Who knows what would happen in the future if I hadn't.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
We suggest that
the best solutions are voting systems having a "voter-verifiable audit
trail," where a computerized voting system might print a paper ballot
that can be read and verified by the voter.
I definitely agree with that.
What a radical concept, eh! A verifiable trail! A record of some kind! Amazing!

How many votes must be lost for good
Before they back-up the trail?
The answer, my friend, is blowin' in the wind ...
The answer is blowin' in the wind ....
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
It appears that the state of Maryland has had to compromise on
the security of the voting system due to the election calendar. The
Maryland State Board of Elections states that ?an alternative system
could not be implemented in time to conduct the March 2004 Presidential
Primary election and could jeopardize the November 2004 Presidential
General election.? Unfortunately, by compromising on security, the
integrity and privacy of these elections may still be in jeopardy.
In Maryland, Kerry won: 56% to 43% .
They prolly left that state alone because it's got the same name as Cheeses' mom. Better not piss off the big guy.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
Perhaps the best coverage of this study is in a Wired report by Kim
Zetter.
-----------------------------------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities
This entire article is in "disputed" status. Wikipedia is just a
bunch of articles written by whoever wants to write them, and it's
owned by some entrepreneur dude. I could go write an article there if
I wanted to.
I think that was the site that linked me to Johns Hopkins, and UCBerkely.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
Investigations and enquiries - The major challenger, John Kerry
(Democrat), has stated he will not contest the anticipated result.
However, some groups and individuals (including the media, Ralph Nader
(independent), David Cobb (Green), Michael Badnarik
(Libertarian), the Electronic Frontier Foundation, electronic voting
machine criticism organizations such as BlackBoxVoting.ORG
(http://www.blackboxvoting.org), Kerry's brother and legal advisor
Cameron Kerry, members of the House Judiciary Committee, PD's
and academics, computer security specialists, and citizen bloggers) are
currently compiling, analysing and investigating these
allegations.
This is good, and it brings us back to my original statement, that I
would wait for the results of such investigations. Sigh.
And remember that, even with investigations, the whole truth will probably never come out.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
[...snip...most of the Wikipedia material...]
Post by Ether St. Vying
"[E]ven if the election were viewed as "successful,"
it would not alleviate the vast majority of my concerns with the
machines.
Voting machines that are vulnerable to wholesale
rigging can still perform perfectly normally. It is possible that nobody
exploited the vulnerabilities this time around, and
it is also possible that there was fraud or serious error, but that they
went undetected. Electronic voting will be judged on the
noticeable failures, and the unnoticeable ones are the most serious." -
Aviel
D. Rubin [1] (http://www.avirubin.com/judge2.html)
The above is a rational statement. Possible is possible. May have is
may have. To change the result, the evidence would need to be
stronger. Here in California, they didn't use a lot of the machines.
I myself voted on a paper ballot.
Post by Ether St. Vying
Aviel Rubin, Professor of Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University
and Technical Director of the Information Security Institute has
analyzed the source code used in these voting machines and reports "this
voting system is far below even the most minimal security
standards applicable in other contexts." [2]
(http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html) Following the publication
of this paper, the
State of Maryland hired Science Applications International Corporation
(SAIC) to to perform another analysis of the Diebold voting
machines. SAIC concluded ?[t]he system, as implemented in policy,
procedure, and technology, is at high risk of compromise.? [3]
(http://www.dbm.maryland.gov/dbm_publishing/public_content/dbm_search/technology/toc_voting_system_report/votingsystemreportfinal.pdf)
New systems often are at a high risk of compromise. In fact, the
truth is, most systems new or old ARE at a high risk of compromise. I
myself work for a software development firm which is somewhat
concerned with security issues. Again, a risk of compromise does mean
it actually happened. And if it did happen, there is a very good
chance that there would be evidence that it did. So I'd still want to
see the evidence.
There's some evidence no one will ever see, like those disappeared puter votes. You can claim there weren't any and I can claim there were
5 million. There will be no further evidence to back either of our claims.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
The company I work for creates audit trails within their databases
which show everything modified and by whom, and when. Using MS Access
as a storage database is definitely not the best idea. But ... that
still doesn't mean cheating definitely occurred.
Yeah, and bears don't shit in the woods. Speaking of animals, the Dems need to get a new mascot. A Jackass just doesn't instill all that
much confidence. It might have meant something to people 100 years ago ... but these days, it's just a donkey ...

As far as I know, our political parties don't have animal mascots. But the colours here are reversed. The Liberals are red and the Neocons
are blue. We no longer have a Conservative party to speak of.

The socialists are orange. The greens are green ... and IIRC the Libertarians are black and white ... and the Marijuana Party is rainbow
hued, natch.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
-----------------------------------
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
from pdf: Summary of Findings
The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush
- Irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have
awarded 130,000 excess votes or more to President George W. Bush in
Florida.
You asked me how much Bush won Florida by? The answer is: 380,000
votes.
Jeb done good with his 3-pronged nacho strategy.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
But ... since a knowledgable "outsider" could supposedly modify the
results, then why aren't you concerned about the following states??
Michigan -- Kerry won by 165,000
Minnesota -- Kerry won by 98,000
New Hampshire - Kerry won by less than 10,000
Oregon - Kerry won by 67,000
Pennsylvania - Kerry won by 130,000
Wisconsin - Kerry by only 11,000
All of those were as close as Ohio (or much closer), and all went to
Kerry. Are we going to recount or verify any of those results too?
Are we going to make sure no one cheated on the machines in those
states?
If they were going to go to the bother and risk of cheating, you'd think that the numbers would be higher. Besides how do you know that
Kerry didn't win by an even bigger margin, but the Butch Mob cheating wasn't completely successful in those states ... maybe cause they
were intimidated by all those slick lawyers in expensive suits hanging around glancing at their watches and talking on their cellphones?
What I want to know is ... why didn't they send out hordes of computer nerds instead of suits?
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,62109,00.html
Computer security experts hired to hack electronic voting machines
manufactured by Diebold Election Systems found that flaws in the
machines could result in malicious insiders or outsiders stealing an
election.
Computer security experts hired to hack almost ANY system are fairly
likely to be successful. Or at least, on a very large percentage of
systems they would be...
The question is still: was there actual cheating done? If so, by
whom,
Well, it obviously wasn't the Dems, was it?
Post by Jeremy Donovan
and did it really have a major effect on the results?
Whatever comes out will only be the tip of the iceberg.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Those questions are still unanswered.
But some other questions have been answered. Did you read Bill Moyers' most excellent article that plus/minus posted? Moyers does a nice
job of describing what's happening in your land .... and he's obviously done his homework. Read it and weep some more.

Ether
Harvey Wallbanger
2004-11-25 09:24:14 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ether St. Vying
Did you read Bill Moyers' most excellent article that plus/minus posted? Moyers does a nice
job of describing what's happening in your land .... and he's obviously done his homework. Read it and weep some more.
Yes, I did read that, and I really liked a great deal of it. Except
for all the stuff about what 'Jesus' would want. The J dude died a
long time ago, so best leave him out of it. It's about what WE oughta
want, so to heck with the big J.

Still don't have much to say about the rest. Sure is a weird story
about those tapes in Fla.

And the hits just keep on comin'! In ... the Bush years!

Like how some of the good folks who no doubt voted for Dubya in droves
finally managed to get some of their schools to stick stickers on
science textbooks that make nonsensical claims about evolution:
http://www.unreasonableman.net/2004/11/evolution_textb.html


-Jeremy H. Donovan
Ether St. Vying
2004-11-25 10:19:15 UTC
Permalink
Post by Harvey Wallbanger
Post by Ether St. Vying
Did you read Bill Moyers' most excellent article that plus/minus posted? Moyers does a nice
job of describing what's happening in your land .... and he's obviously done his homework. Read it and weep some more.
Yes, I did read that, and I really liked a great deal of it. Except
for all the stuff about what 'Jesus' would want. The J dude died a
long time ago, so best leave him out of it. It's about what WE oughta
want, so to heck with the big J.
He's just trying to put the big J back into the proper perspective. But he's just preaching to the choir, unfortunately.
It surprised me to learn that Joseph Campbell was a practising, and religious, Catholic. He had such a live and let live
attitude, and accepted the validity of a whole whack of diverse cultural beliefs and myths. It's possible to be religious
and not be a fanatic.
Post by Harvey Wallbanger
Still don't have much to say about the rest. Sure is a weird story
about those tapes in Fla.
And the hits just keep on comin'! In ... the Bush years!
Better brace yourself.
Post by Harvey Wallbanger
Like how some of the good folks who no doubt voted for Dubya in droves
finally managed to get some of their schools to stick stickers on
http://www.unreasonableman.net/2004/11/evolution_textb.html
They can get away with it because it's called Darwin's Theory of Evolution. But they can't really get away with calling
the evidence that supports it theoretical. DNA, unlike sack of shit politicians, doesn't lie.

Ether

STOP_George
2004-11-25 10:29:32 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ether St. Vying
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Okay, so we are getting closer to evidence, which is what I originally
requested. I notice you found time to read a little more, as long as
it is on your own side, that is.
Funny thing is I wasn't even looking for it. I was searching for a defunct Cdn. newage mag that had done an interview with Scout Cloud
Lee, one of the castaways in the current season of Survivor. So I did a google.ca search for dimensions magazine ... the name of the mag,
to the best of my recollection ... and I went to a site that I thought might be it ... and it wasn't. Turned out to be a Cdn. left wing
mag ... but it had all this stuff about the irregularities ... so I followed some links ... and ... like ... Bob's yer uncle, eh. I took
it as a sign from the universe that I should post it here. Who knows what would happen in the future if I hadn't.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
We suggest that
the best solutions are voting systems having a "voter-verifiable audit
trail," where a computerized voting system might print a paper ballot
that can be read and verified by the voter.
I definitely agree with that.
What a radical concept, eh! A verifiable trail! A record of some kind! Amazing!
How many votes must be lost for good
Before they back-up the trail?
The answer, my friend, is blowin' in the wind ...
The answer is blowin' in the wind ....
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
It appears that the state of Maryland has had to compromise on
the security of the voting system due to the election calendar. The
Maryland State Board of Elections states that ?an alternative system
could not be implemented in time to conduct the March 2004 Presidential
Primary election and could jeopardize the November 2004 Presidential
General election.? Unfortunately, by compromising on security, the
integrity and privacy of these elections may still be in jeopardy.
In Maryland, Kerry won: 56% to 43% .
They prolly left that state alone because it's got the same name as Cheeses' mom. Better not piss off the big guy.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
Perhaps the best coverage of this study is in a Wired report by Kim
Zetter.
-----------------------------------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities
This entire article is in "disputed" status. Wikipedia is just a
bunch of articles written by whoever wants to write them, and it's
owned by some entrepreneur dude. I could go write an article there if
I wanted to.
I think that was the site that linked me to Johns Hopkins, and UCBerkely.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
Investigations and enquiries - The major challenger, John Kerry
(Democrat), has stated he will not contest the anticipated result.
However, some groups and individuals (including the media, Ralph Nader
(independent), David Cobb (Green), Michael Badnarik
(Libertarian), the Electronic Frontier Foundation, electronic voting
machine criticism organizations such as BlackBoxVoting.ORG
(http://www.blackboxvoting.org), Kerry's brother and legal advisor
Cameron Kerry, members of the House Judiciary Committee, PD's
and academics, computer security specialists, and citizen bloggers) are
currently compiling, analysing and investigating these
allegations.
This is good, and it brings us back to my original statement, that I
would wait for the results of such investigations. Sigh.
And remember that, even with investigations, the whole truth will probably never come out.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
[...snip...most of the Wikipedia material...]
Post by Ether St. Vying
"[E]ven if the election were viewed as "successful,"
it would not alleviate the vast majority of my concerns with the
machines.
Voting machines that are vulnerable to wholesale
rigging can still perform perfectly normally. It is possible that nobody
exploited the vulnerabilities this time around, and
it is also possible that there was fraud or serious error, but that they
went undetected. Electronic voting will be judged on the
noticeable failures, and the unnoticeable ones are the most serious." -
Aviel
D. Rubin [1] (http://www.avirubin.com/judge2.html)
The above is a rational statement. Possible is possible. May have is
may have. To change the result, the evidence would need to be
stronger. Here in California, they didn't use a lot of the machines.
I myself voted on a paper ballot.
Post by Ether St. Vying
Aviel Rubin, Professor of Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University
and Technical Director of the Information Security Institute has
analyzed the source code used in these voting machines and reports "this
voting system is far below even the most minimal security
standards applicable in other contexts." [2]
(http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html) Following the publication
of this paper, the
State of Maryland hired Science Applications International Corporation
(SAIC) to to perform another analysis of the Diebold voting
machines. SAIC concluded ?[t]he system, as implemented in policy,
procedure, and technology, is at high risk of compromise.? [3]
(http://www.dbm.maryland.gov/dbm_publishing/public_content/dbm_search/technology/toc_voting_system_report/votingsystemreportfinal.pdf)
New systems often are at a high risk of compromise. In fact, the
truth is, most systems new or old ARE at a high risk of compromise. I
myself work for a software development firm which is somewhat
concerned with security issues. Again, a risk of compromise does mean
it actually happened. And if it did happen, there is a very good
chance that there would be evidence that it did. So I'd still want to
see the evidence.
There's some evidence no one will ever see, like those disappeared puter votes. You can claim there weren't any and I can claim there were
5 million. There will be no further evidence to back either of our claims.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
The company I work for creates audit trails within their databases
which show everything modified and by whom, and when. Using MS Access
as a storage database is definitely not the best idea. But ... that
still doesn't mean cheating definitely occurred.
Yeah, and bears don't shit in the woods. Speaking of animals, the Dems need to get a new mascot. A Jackass just doesn't instill all that
much confidence. It might have meant something to people 100 years ago ... but these days, it's just a donkey ...
As far as I know, our political parties don't have animal mascots. But the colours here are reversed. The Liberals are red and the Neocons
are blue. We no longer have a Conservative party to speak of.
The socialists are orange. The greens are green ... and IIRC the Libertarians are black and white ... and the Marijuana Party is rainbow
hued, natch.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
-----------------------------------
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
from pdf: Summary of Findings
The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush
- Irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have
awarded 130,000 excess votes or more to President George W. Bush in
Florida.
You asked me how much Bush won Florida by? The answer is: 380,000
votes.
Jeb done good with his 3-pronged nacho strategy.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
But ... since a knowledgable "outsider" could supposedly modify the
results, then why aren't you concerned about the following states??
Michigan -- Kerry won by 165,000
Minnesota -- Kerry won by 98,000
New Hampshire - Kerry won by less than 10,000
Oregon - Kerry won by 67,000
Pennsylvania - Kerry won by 130,000
Wisconsin - Kerry by only 11,000
All of those were as close as Ohio (or much closer), and all went to
Kerry. Are we going to recount or verify any of those results too?
Are we going to make sure no one cheated on the machines in those
states?
If they were going to go to the bother and risk of cheating, you'd think that the numbers would be higher. Besides how do you know that
Kerry didn't win by an even bigger margin, but the Butch Mob cheating wasn't completely successful in those states ... maybe cause they
were intimidated by all those slick lawyers in expensive suits hanging around glancing at their watches and talking on their cellphones?
What I want to know is ... why didn't they send out hordes of computer nerds instead of suits?
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,62109,00.html
Computer security experts hired to hack electronic voting machines
manufactured by Diebold Election Systems found that flaws in the
machines could result in malicious insiders or outsiders stealing an
election.
Computer security experts hired to hack almost ANY system are fairly
likely to be successful. Or at least, on a very large percentage of
systems they would be...
The question is still: was there actual cheating done? If so, by
whom,
Well, it obviously wasn't the Dems, was it?
Post by Jeremy Donovan
and did it really have a major effect on the results?
Whatever comes out will only be the tip of the iceberg.
Post by Jeremy Donovan
Those questions are still unanswered.
But some other questions have been answered. Did you read Bill Moyers' most excellent article that plus/minus posted? Moyers does a nice
job of describing what's happening in your land .... and he's obviously done his homework. Read it and weep some more.
Ether
-------------------------------------------------------------

<<<< Newsclip Autopsy >>>> FOCUS: VOTERGATE

This site is dedicated to dissect mainstream news and to expose the
half-truths, mis-truths and, most importantly, the truth left out.

http://newsclipautopsy.blogspot.com/

----------------------------------------------------------
±
2004-11-24 11:36:05 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Analysis of an Electronic Voting System
IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy, Oakland, CA, May, 2004.
Authors
Tadayoshi Kohno
Adam Stubblefield
Aviel D. Rubin
Dan S. Wallach
Was The 2004 Presidential Election Stolen?:
http://www.solarbus.org/stealyourelection

Working Paper: The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in
Support for Bush in the 2004 Florida Elections :
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html


http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00258.htm

'Stinking Evidence' of Possible Fraud in Florida
Friday, 19 November 2004, 1:53 pm
by Thom Hartmann


There was something odd about the poll tapes.

A "poll tape" is the phrase used to describe a printout from an optical
scan voting machine made the evening of an election, after the machine
has read all the ballots and crunched the numbers on its internal
computer. It shows the total results of the election in that location.
The printout is signed by the polling officials present in that
precinct/location, and then submitted to the county elections office as
the official record of how the people in that particular precinct had
voted. (Usually each location has only one single optical
scanner/reader, and thus produces only one poll tape.)

Bev Harris of www.blackboxvoting.org, the erstwhile investigator of
electronic voting machines, along with people from Florida Fair
Elections, showed up at Florida's Volusia County Elections Office on the
afternoon of Tuesday, November 16, 2004, and asked to see, under a
public records request, each of the poll tapes for the 100+ optical
scanners in the precincts in that county. The elections workers - having
been notified in advance of her request - handed her a set of printouts,
oddly dated November 15 and lacking signatures.

Bev pointed out that the printouts given her were not the original poll
tapes and had no signatures, and thus were not what she'd requested.
Obligingly, they told her that the originals were held in another
location, the Elections Office's Warehouse, and that since it was the
end of the day they should meet Bev the following morning to show them
to her.

Bev showed up bright and early the morning of Wednesday the 17th - well
before the scheduled meeting - and discovered three of the elections
officials in the Elections Warehouse standing over a table covered with
what looked like poll tapes. When they saw Bev and her friends, Bev told
me in a telephone interview less than an hour later, "They immediately
shoved us out and slammed the door."

In a way, that was a blessing, because it led to the stinking evidence.

"On the porch was a garbage bag," Bev said, "and so I looked in it and,
and lo and behold, there were public record tapes."

Thrown away. Discarded. Waiting to be hauled off.

"It was technically stinking, in fact," Bev added, "because what they
had done was to have thrown some of their polling tapes, which are the
official records of the election, into the garbage. These were the ones
signed by the poll workers. These are something we had done an official
public records request for."

When the elections officials inside realized that the people outside
were going through the trash, they called the police and one came out to
challenge Bev.

Kathleen Wynne, a www.blackboxvoting.org investigator, was there.

"We caught the whole thing on videotape," she said. "I don't think
you'll ever see anything like this - Bev Harris having a tug of war with
an election worker over a bag of garbage, and he held onto it and she
pulled on it, and it split right open, spilling out those poll tapes.
They were throwing away our democracy, and Bev wasn't going to let them
do it."

As I was interviewing Bev just moments after the tussle, she had to get
off the phone, because, "Two police cars just showed up."

She told me later in the day, in an on-air interview, that when the
police arrived, "We all had a vigorous debate on the merits of my public
records request."

The outcome of that debate was that they all went from the Elections
Warehouse back to the Elections Office, to compare the original,
November 2 dated and signed poll tapes with the November 15 printouts
the Elections Office had submitted to the Secretary of State. A camera
crew from www.votergate.tv met them there, as well.

And then things got even odder.

"We were sitting there comparing the real [signed, original] tapes with
the [later printout] ones that were given us," Bev said, "and finding
things missing and finding things not matching, when one of the
elections employees took a bin full of things that looked like garbage -
that looked like polling tapes, actually - and passed by and disappeared
out the back of the building."

This provoked investigator Ellen Brodsky to walk outside and check the
garbage of the Elections Office itself. Sure enough - more original,
signed poll tapes, freshly trashed.

"And I must tell you," Bev said, "that whatever they had taken out [the
back door] just came right back in the front door and we said, 'What are
these polling place tapes doing in your dumpster?'"

A November 18 call to the Volusia County Elections Office found that
Elections Supervisor Deanie Lowe was unavailable and nobody was willing
to speak on the record with an out-of-state reporter. However, The
Daytona Beach News (in Volusia County), in a November 17th article by
staff writer Christine Girardin, noted, "Harris went to the Department
of Elections' warehouse on State Road 44 in DeLand on Tuesday to inspect
original Nov. 2 polling place tapes, after being given a set of reprints
dated Nov. 15. While there, Harris saw Nov. 2 polling place tapes in a
garbage bag, heightening her concern about the integrity of voting
records."

The Daytona Beach News further noted that, "[Elections Supervisor] Lowe
confirmed Wednesday some backup copies of tapes from the Nov. 2 election
were destined for the shredder," but pointed out that, according to
Lowe, that was simply because there were two sets of tapes produced on
election night, each signed. "One tape is delivered in one car along
with the ballots and a memory card," the News reported. "The backup tape
is delivered to the elections office in a second car."

Suggesting that duplicates don't need to be kept, Lowe claims that
Harris didn't want to hear an explanation of why some signed poll tapes
would be in the garbage. "She's not wanting to listen to an
explanation," Lowe told the News of Harris. "She has her own ideas."

But the Ollie North action in two locations on two days was only half of
the surprise that awaited Bev and her associates. When they compared the
discarded, signed, original tapes with the recent printouts submitted to
the state and used to tabulate the Florida election winners, Harris says
a disturbing pattern emerged.

"The difference was hundreds of votes in each of the different places we
examined," said Bev, "and most of those were in minority areas."

When I asked Bev if the errors they were finding in precinct after
precinct were random, as one would expect from technical, clerical, or
computer errors, she became uncomfortable.

"You have to understand that we are non-partisan," she said. "We're not
trying to change the outcome of an election, just to find out if there
was any voting fraud."

That said, Bev added: "The pattern was very clear. The anomalies favored
George W. Bush. Every single time."

Of course finding possible voting "anomalies" in one Florida county
doesn't mean they'll show up in all counties. It's even conceivable
there are innocent explanations for both the mismatched counts and
trashed original records; this story undoubtedly will continue to play
out. And, unless further investigation demonstrates a pervasive and
statewide trend toward "anomalous" election results in many of Florida's
counties, odds are none of this will change the outcome of the election
(which exit polls showed John Kerry winning in Florida).

Nonetheless, Bev and her merry band are off to hit another county.

As she told me on her cell phone while driving toward their next
destination, "We just put Volusia County and their lawyers on notice
that they need to continue to keep a number of documents under seal,
including all of the memory cards to the ballot boxes, and all of the
signed poll tapes."

Why?

"Simple," she said. "Because we found anomalies indicative of fraud."



http://news.com.com/Report+Florida+data+suggests+e-voting+problems/2100-7348_3-5459186.html?tag=nefd.top

Report: Florida data suggests e-voting problems
Published: November 18, 2004, 8:45 PM PST
By Robert Lemos
Staff Writer, CNET News.com

Researchers at the University of California at Berkeley published on
Friday a statistical analysis of irregularities in Florida voter
behavior that contends that the voting patterns favored President Bush
to the tune of 130,000 to 260,000 votes.

The report, by four U.C. Berkeley researchers, analyzed the statistical
relationships between Florida's Nov. 2 results of the election and a
variety of factors, including historical trends in Florida, racial
factors and county size. According to the analysis, people using
electronic voting machines tended to favor President Bush in proportion
to the number of registered Democrats in each county.

The group stressed that the results were not proof of any errors in
counting the vote, but merely suggested that some link existed between
the type of machine used to tally votes and the margin by which
President Bush won.

"Without a paper trail, statistical comparisons of jurisdictions that
used e-voting are the only tool available to diagnose problems with the
new technology," the researchers stated in the report.

The paper was authored by Michael Hout, a professor of sociology at U.C.
Berkeley, and three other researchers. The analysis found a statistical
relationship between electronic voting machines and votes for President
Bush, which seems to have accounted for anywhere from 130,000 votes to
260,000 votes. Hout was not immediately available for comment.

While some problems with election machines have surfaced after Nov. 2,
none has been deemed a major issue that could affect the outcome of the
election. According to the Web site of Florida's secretary of state,
President Bush won that state by 380,000 votes.

That has not stopped liberal groups from taking issues with the results.
Strange statistical anomalies in Florida's election results, for
example, were initially highlighted by USTogether.org. That group's
analysis of the Florida vote stated that optical-scan voting machines
were used in polling places where Republicans tended to gain a much
larger portion of the vote than expected from party registrations.

However, political science professors at Harvard University, Stanford
University and Cornell University discounted the theories by pointing
out that optical-scan systems are used mainly in rural counties of
Florida and that those counties have had registered Democrats that have
voted Republican in the past four presidential elections.

"We conclude that allegation is baseless," wrote Walter Mebane,
professor of political science at Cornell University.

However, Samuel Wang, an assistant professor of molecular biology at
Princeton University who published extensive analysis of election data
running up to the November primary, said he believed the latest
analysis, unlike previous ones, does a credible job of explaining the
statistically odd behavior of Florida voters.

"I am not prone to conspiracy theories," he said in an e-mail to CNET
News.com. "For instance, I think allegations about Ohio are false, and
theories based on exit polls are highly misguided. But the Berkeley
group's evidence is more convincing to me."

The Berkeley analysis uses voting patterns by county from 2000 and 1996,
income by county, total population, and Hispanic population to try to
explain voting patterns in 2004, all factors used in an attempt to
explain Florida voters' propensity to vote Republican far more
frequently than voter registration records might otherwise indicate.

"Their analysis indicates that even when all these variables are
accounted for, a significant difference remains between counties that
used electronic voting and counties that used optical scanning or paper
ballots," he said.

Wang's own analysis, using different methods, estimated that e-voting
machines inexplicitly favored Bush by 270,000 votes, he said.

Neither analysis tries to explain what may account for the statistical
departure from the expected results of the election. However, they do
list several possibilities.

"Mechanisms that would produce this outcome include having votes
electronically registered in the machine prior to any voters using the
machine or after the last voter users it--through software errors or
hacking--and other flaws that interfere with counting after some limit
is reached," the report stated.
--
http://www.bedoper.com/snuh



-------
/ \
/ \ /-----\
| (@) | | SnuH |
| (O) | \_ ___/
| / | ||
| \ /_ / //
\ \____/ / /
\ /
\_____,
STOP_George
2004-11-24 18:14:36 UTC
Permalink
Post by ±
Post by Ether St. Vying
http://avirubin.com/vote/analysis/index.html
Analysis of an Electronic Voting System
IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy, Oakland, CA, May, 2004.
Authors
Tadayoshi Kohno
Adam Stubblefield
Aviel D. Rubin
Dan S. Wallach
http://www.solarbus.org/stealyourelection
Working Paper: The Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00258.htm
'Stinking Evidence' of Possible Fraud in Florida
Friday, 19 November 2004, 1:53 pm
by Thom Hartmann
There was something odd about the poll tapes.
A "poll tape" is the phrase used to describe a printout from an optical
scan voting machine made the evening of an election, after the machine
has read all the ballots and crunched the numbers on its internal
computer. It shows the total results of the election in that location.
The printout is signed by the polling officials present in that
precinct/location, and then submitted to the county elections office as
the official record of how the people in that particular precinct had
voted. (Usually each location has only one single optical
scanner/reader, and thus produces only one poll tape.)
Bev Harris of www.blackboxvoting.org, the erstwhile investigator of
electronic voting machines, along with people from Florida Fair
Elections, showed up at Florida's Volusia County Elections Office on the
afternoon of Tuesday, November 16, 2004, and asked to see, under a
public records request, each of the poll tapes for the 100+ optical
scanners in the precincts in that county. The elections workers - having
been notified in advance of her request - handed her a set of printouts,
oddly dated November 15 and lacking signatures.
Bev pointed out that the printouts given her were not the original poll
tapes and had no signatures, and thus were not what she'd requested.
Obligingly, they told her that the originals were held in another
location, the Elections Office's Warehouse, and that since it was the
end of the day they should meet Bev the following morning to show them
to her.
Bev showed up bright and early the morning of Wednesday the 17th - well
before the scheduled meeting - and discovered three of the elections
officials in the Elections Warehouse standing over a table covered with
what looked like poll tapes. When they saw Bev and her friends, Bev told
me in a telephone interview less than an hour later, "They immediately
shoved us out and slammed the door."
In a way, that was a blessing, because it led to the stinking evidence.
"On the porch was a garbage bag," Bev said, "and so I looked in it and,
and lo and behold, there were public record tapes."
Thrown away. Discarded. Waiting to be hauled off.
"It was technically stinking, in fact," Bev added, "because what they
had done was to have thrown some of their polling tapes, which are the
official records of the election, into the garbage. These were the ones
signed by the poll workers. These are something we had done an official
public records request for."
When the elections officials inside realized that the people outside
were going through the trash, they called the police and one came out to
challenge Bev.
Kathleen Wynne, a www.blackboxvoting.org investigator, was there.
"We caught the whole thing on videotape," she said. "I don't think
you'll ever see anything like this - Bev Harris having a tug of war with
an election worker over a bag of garbage, and he held onto it and she
pulled on it, and it split right open, spilling out those poll tapes.
They were throwing away our democracy, and Bev wasn't going to let them
do it."
As I was interviewing Bev just moments after the tussle, she had to get
off the phone, because, "Two police cars just showed up."
She told me later in the day, in an on-air interview, that when the
police arrived, "We all had a vigorous debate on the merits of my public
records request."
The outcome of that debate was that they all went from the Elections
Warehouse back to the Elections Office, to compare the original,
November 2 dated and signed poll tapes with the November 15 printouts
the Elections Office had submitted to the Secretary of State. A camera
crew from www.votergate.tv met them there, as well.
And then things got even odder.
"We were sitting there comparing the real [signed, original] tapes with
the [later printout] ones that were given us," Bev said, "and finding
things missing and finding things not matching, when one of the
elections employees took a bin full of things that looked like garbage -
that looked like polling tapes, actually - and passed by and disappeared
out the back of the building."
This provoked investigator Ellen Brodsky to walk outside and check the
garbage of the Elections Office itself. Sure enough - more original,
signed poll tapes, freshly trashed.
"And I must tell you," Bev said, "that whatever they had taken out [the
back door] just came right back in the front door and we said, 'What are
these polling place tapes doing in your dumpster?'"
A November 18 call to the Volusia County Elections Office found that
Elections Supervisor Deanie Lowe was unavailable and nobody was willing
to speak on the record with an out-of-state reporter. However, The
Daytona Beach News (in Volusia County), in a November 17th article by
staff writer Christine Girardin, noted, "Harris went to the Department
of Elections' warehouse on State Road 44 in DeLand on Tuesday to inspect
original Nov. 2 polling place tapes, after being given a set of reprints
dated Nov. 15. While there, Harris saw Nov. 2 polling place tapes in a
garbage bag, heightening her concern about the integrity of voting
records."
The Daytona Beach News further noted that, "[Elections Supervisor] Lowe
confirmed Wednesday some backup copies of tapes from the Nov. 2 election
were destined for the shredder," but pointed out that, according to
Lowe, that was simply because there were two sets of tapes produced on
election night, each signed. "One tape is delivered in one car along
with the ballots and a memory card," the News reported. "The backup tape
is delivered to the elections office in a second car."
Suggesting that duplicates don't need to be kept, Lowe claims that
Harris didn't want to hear an explanation of why some signed poll tapes
would be in the garbage. "She's not wanting to listen to an
explanation," Lowe told the News of Harris. "She has her own ideas."
But the Ollie North action in two locations on two days was only half of
the surprise that awaited Bev and her associates. When they compared the
discarded, signed, original tapes with the recent printouts submitted to
the state and used to tabulate the Florida election winners, Harris says
a disturbing pattern emerged.
"The difference was hundreds of votes in each of the different places we
examined," said Bev, "and most of those were in minority areas."
When I asked Bev if the errors they were finding in precinct after
precinct were random, as one would expect from technical, clerical, or
computer errors, she became uncomfortable.
"You have to understand that we are non-partisan," she said. "We're not
trying to change the outcome of an election, just to find out if there
was any voting fraud."
That said, Bev added: "The pattern was very clear. The anomalies favored
George W. Bush. Every single time."
Of course finding possible voting "anomalies" in one Florida county
doesn't mean they'll show up in all counties. It's even conceivable
there are innocent explanations for both the mismatched counts and
trashed original records; this story undoubtedly will continue to play
out. And, unless further investigation demonstrates a pervasive and
statewide trend toward "anomalous" election results in many of Florida's
counties, odds are none of this will change the outcome of the election
(which exit polls showed John Kerry winning in Florida).
Nonetheless, Bev and her merry band are off to hit another county.
As she told me on her cell phone while driving toward their next
destination, "We just put Volusia County and their lawyers on notice
that they need to continue to keep a number of documents under seal,
including all of the memory cards to the ballot boxes, and all of the
signed poll tapes."
Why?
"Simple," she said. "Because we found anomalies indicative of fraud."
http://news.com.com/Report+Florida+data+suggests+e-voting+problems/2100-7348_3-5459186.html?tag=nefd.top
Report: Florida data suggests e-voting problems
Published: November 18, 2004, 8:45 PM PST
By Robert Lemos
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
Researchers at the University of California at Berkeley published on
Friday a statistical analysis of irregularities in Florida voter
behavior that contends that the voting patterns favored President Bush
to the tune of 130,000 to 260,000 votes.
The report, by four U.C. Berkeley researchers, analyzed the statistical
relationships between Florida's Nov. 2 results of the election and a
variety of factors, including historical trends in Florida, racial
factors and county size. According to the analysis, people using
electronic voting machines tended to favor President Bush in proportion
to the number of registered Democrats in each county.
The group stressed that the results were not proof of any errors in
counting the vote, but merely suggested that some link existed between
the type of machine used to tally votes and the margin by which
President Bush won.
"Without a paper trail, statistical comparisons of jurisdictions that
used e-voting are the only tool available to diagnose problems with the
new technology," the researchers stated in the report.
The paper was authored by Michael Hout, a professor of sociology at U.C.
Berkeley, and three other researchers. The analysis found a statistical
relationship between electronic voting machines and votes for President
Bush, which seems to have accounted for anywhere from 130,000 votes to
260,000 votes. Hout was not immediately available for comment.
While some problems with election machines have surfaced after Nov. 2,
none has been deemed a major issue that could affect the outcome of the
election. According to the Web site of Florida's secretary of state,
President Bush won that state by 380,000 votes.
That has not stopped liberal groups from taking issues with the results.
Strange statistical anomalies in Florida's election results, for
example, were initially highlighted by USTogether.org. That group's
analysis of the Florida vote stated that optical-scan voting machines
were used in polling places where Republicans tended to gain a much
larger portion of the vote than expected from party registrations.
However, political science professors at Harvard University, Stanford
University and Cornell University discounted the theories by pointing
out that optical-scan systems are used mainly in rural counties of
Florida and that those counties have had registered Democrats that have
voted Republican in the past four presidential elections.
"We conclude that allegation is baseless," wrote Walter Mebane,
professor of political science at Cornell University.
However, Samuel Wang, an assistant professor of molecular biology at
Princeton University who published extensive analysis of election data
running up to the November primary, said he believed the latest
analysis, unlike previous ones, does a credible job of explaining the
statistically odd behavior of Florida voters.
"I am not prone to conspiracy theories," he said in an e-mail to CNET
News.com. "For instance, I think allegations about Ohio are false, and
theories based on exit polls are highly misguided. But the Berkeley
group's evidence is more convincing to me."
The Berkeley analysis uses voting patterns by county from 2000 and 1996,
income by county, total population, and Hispanic population to try to
explain voting patterns in 2004, all factors used in an attempt to
explain Florida voters' propensity to vote Republican far more
frequently than voter registration records might otherwise indicate.
"Their analysis indicates that even when all these variables are
accounted for, a significant difference remains between counties that
used electronic voting and counties that used optical scanning or paper
ballots," he said.
Wang's own analysis, using different methods, estimated that e-voting
machines inexplicitly favored Bush by 270,000 votes, he said.
Neither analysis tries to explain what may account for the statistical
departure from the expected results of the election. However, they do
list several possibilities.
"Mechanisms that would produce this outcome include having votes
electronically registered in the machine prior to any voters using the
machine or after the last voter users it--through software errors or
hacking--and other flaws that interfere with counting after some limit
is reached," the report stated.
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